Bahreyn 2-2 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
30%
-9.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 32%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-99% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Endonezya
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.02.2012 Bahreyn Bahreyn 10-0 HT 4-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
10.07.2007 Endonezya Endonezya 2-1 HT 1-1 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
2-2
AWAY Endonezya
1.30 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
309 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahreyn and Endonezya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bahreyn at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahreyn had 56% of the ball to Endonezya's 44%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.30 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Bahreyn and 1.00 for Endonezya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Endonezya?

Bahreyn 2-2 Endonezya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahreyn win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 48%, draw 20%, Endonezya 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bahreyn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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