Brezilya 3-0 Şili — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Brezilya
3-0 HT 1-0
Şili
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Brezilya vs Şili Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
9%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.33
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
30.5
X/1
25%
3.43
X/2
3%
30.0
X/X
6%
7.46
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
3%
32.0
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
79%
-3.9pp
16%
Draw
15%
+0.3pp
9%
Away Win
5%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.2pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brezilya v Şili — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.98/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.67
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
17.9 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Brezilya vs Şili Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Şili
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Şili Şili 1-2 HT 1-1 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
25.03.2022 Brezilya Brezilya 4-0 HT 2-0 Şili Şili DKE
03.09.2021 Şili Şili 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
03.07.2021 Brezilya Brezilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili AKU
11.10.2017 Brezilya Brezilya 3-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili DKE
09.10.2015 Şili Şili 2-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE

Brezilya 3-0 Şili — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya
3-0
AWAY Şili
4.14 xG 0.07
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
527 Passes 268
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 1
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brezilya vs Şili
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya ran out comfortable winners over Şili 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brezilya as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Brezilya had 64% of the ball to Şili's 36%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 4.14 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brezilya and 0.50 for Şili.

What was the final score of Brezilya vs Şili?

Brezilya 3-0 Şili in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya vs Şili?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Brezilya 76%, draw 16%, Şili 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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