Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.82
Over 2.5
35%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.1pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
51%
+13.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
49%
-13.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guatemala
2W-1D-1L
AWAY El Salvador
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.32 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
201 Passes 414
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 2-0 HT 1-0 El Salvador El Salvador CON
12.07.2021 El Salvador El Salvador 2-0 HT 0-0 Guatemala Guatemala GK
01.04.2015 El Salvador El Salvador 0-0 HT 0-0 Guatemala Guatemala HAZ
09.06.2007 Guatemala Guatemala 1-0 HT 0-0 El Salvador El Salvador GK
POST-MATCH Guatemala vs El Salvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador edged past Guatemala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; El Salvador found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guatemala had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Guatemala and 0.50 for El Salvador.

What was the final score of Guatemala vs El Salvador?

Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala vs El Salvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 34%, draw 36%, El Salvador 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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