Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guatemala v El Salvador — Team-Based Signals
Guatemala vs El Salvador Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
El Salvador found just enough to beat Guatemala 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; El Salvador found the edge the numbers couldn't.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. At 1.89 (~53%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guatemala had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Guatemala against 0.50 for El Salvador.
Guatemala vs El Salvador Result & Final Score
Guatemala 0 - 1 El Salvador in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 37%, draw 30%, El Salvador 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guatemala), BTTS Yes went the other way.