Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arsenal v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal 2-1 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal shaded a tight game against Manchester United 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Arsenal's favour, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Arsenal against 1.50 for Manchester United.
Arsenal vs Manchester United Result & Final Score
Arsenal 2 - 1 Manchester United in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 51%, draw 23%, Manchester United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.