Vancouver Whitecaps 1-4 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 26% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham ran out comfortable winners over Vancouver Whitecaps 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Wrexham?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-4 Wrexham in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 35%, draw 27%, Wrexham 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Over 2.5
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