28/07/2024
·
11:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
UD Ibiza vs Andorra CF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84
— our 34% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
26%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
36%
66%
Under 2.5
55%
34%
Over 2.5
45%
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
59%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UD Ibiza v Andorra CF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
UD Ibiza
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Andorra CF
EU Bookmakers 39%
-45% /
-45%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.24
-100%
/
+29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
+14%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
265 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
POST-MATCH
UD Ibiza vs Andorra CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Andorra CF got the better of UD Ibiza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Andorra CF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Andorra CF?
UD Ibiza 0-2 Andorra CF in the Friendlies on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Andorra CF?
Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 39%, draw 26%, Andorra CF 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
28 Jul 2024