Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 37%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.09
+150% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.54 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
355 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
20.10.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
13.05.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
24.10.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 3-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
13.04.2019 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
29.09.2018 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-1
AWAY FK Ufa
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and FK Ufa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 50% of the ball to FK Ufa's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 0.83 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - Cup on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 36%, draw 28%, FK Ufa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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