SC Villa 1-1 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Oct 2025

SC Villa
1-1 HT 0-1
Gaddafi
📅15/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

SC Villa vs Gaddafi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.8pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SC Villa v Gaddafi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.05/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/3.34
+18% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

SC Villa vs Gaddafi Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Gaddafi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Gaddafi Gaddafi 0-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
13.12.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
16.03.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
10.12.2021 Gaddafi Gaddafi 2-1 HT 1-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA

SC Villa 1-1 Gaddafi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-1
AWAY Gaddafi
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Gaddafi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. SC Villa carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SC Villa had 64% of the ball to Gaddafi's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SC Villa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SC Villa and 0.50 for Gaddafi.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Gaddafi?

SC Villa 1-1 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 58%, draw 20%, Gaddafi 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SC Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5
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