UPDF vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Maroons — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
UPDF 1-2 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons edged past UPDF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was UPDF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UPDF had 54% of the ball to Maroons's 46%, shots finished 10-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UPDF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UPDF and 1.00 for Maroons.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Maroons?
UPDF 1-2 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Maroons?
Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UPDF 43%, draw 28%, Maroons 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.