Fremad Amager 2-1 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 17%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.06/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/2.78
-47% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nykobing
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 2-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
06.09.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
03.03.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 0-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
17.11.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-4 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
01.10.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
21.04.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 2-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
2-1
AWAY Nykobing
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager squeezed past Nykobing 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 49% of the ball to Nykobing's 51%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.83 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Nykobing?

Fremad Amager 2-1 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 59%, draw 22%, Nykobing 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Over 2.5
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