Nykobing 2-2 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.19/0.80
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
398 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
03.03.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 0-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
17.11.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-4 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
01.10.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
21.04.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 2-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
22.10.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing and Fremad Amager couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fremad Amager at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nykobing and 1.17 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

Nykobing 2-2 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 23%, draw 27%, Fremad Amager 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fremad Amager) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ BTTS Yes
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