Holbaek 2-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 54%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.86
+62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek got the better of Akademisk BK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Akademisk BK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Akademisk BK?

Holbaek 2-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 28%, draw 25%, Akademisk BK 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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