Brabrand 3-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.6
Over 2.5
53%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Thisted
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.05.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 1-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
28.03.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
08.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 4-2 HT 0-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAK
05.08.2023 Brabrand Brabrand 1-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
29.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand cruised past Thisted 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thisted at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brabrand and 1.33 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Thisted?

Brabrand 3-0 Thisted in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 32%, draw 23%, Thisted 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Thisted), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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