Middelfart 3-2 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
56%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
29%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
56%
Away Win
45%
+10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 49%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.15/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-90% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart nicked a narrow win over Hobro IK 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hobro IK at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Hobro IK?

Middelfart 3-2 Hobro IK in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 20%, draw 24%, Hobro IK 56%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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