Beasain 1-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 48%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.14/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.97
+18% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
215 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beasain
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 2-0 HT 1-0 Beasain Beasain İS4
17.12.2022 Beasain Beasain 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
1-1
AWAY Sestao River
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beasain and Sestao River couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Beasain had 43% of the ball to Sestao River's 57%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Beasain and 1.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Sestao River?

Beasain 1-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Beasain 24%, draw 28%, Sestao River 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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