15/11/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Ebro vs Basconia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
23%
Draw
27%
23%
Away Win
20%
59%
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 2.5
41%
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
54%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ebro v Basconia — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ebro
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Basconia
EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
1.41/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.99/2.25
-11%
/
+49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+6%
/
-40%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
313 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.3
Yellow Cards
1.0
Ebro 1-0 Basconia — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Ebro
1-0
AWAY
Basconia
33%
Ball Possession
67%
8
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
1
2
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
4
POST-MATCH
Ebro vs Basconia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ebro squeezed past Basconia 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ebro as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ebro had 33% of the ball to Basconia's 67%, shots finished 8-10.
What was the final score of Ebro vs Basconia?
Ebro 1-0 Basconia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ebro vs Basconia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ebro win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ebro 54%, draw 23%, Basconia 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ebro)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
15 Nov 2025