Real Oviedo II 0-1 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.75
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo II
0-1
AWAY UD Ourense
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo II vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Oviedo II had 62% of the ball to UD Ourense's 38%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo II vs UD Ourense?

Real Oviedo II 0-1 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo II vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo II 50%, draw 26%, UD Ourense 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Oviedo II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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