Weiche Flensburg 4-1 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.38
No
31%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
21%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.7pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.3pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.52/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.83
-11% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-5 HT 0-3 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
12.04.2025 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 3-3 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 4-1 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg cruised past Werder Bremen II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weiche Flensburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 2.17 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Weiche Flensburg 4-1 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 49%, draw 16%, Werder Bremen II 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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