Ostrovets FC 2-1 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +21%
1.55/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.29
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
19.07.2025 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-3 HT 1-1 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
27.10.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
07.10.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-4 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
03.06.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC nicked a narrow win over FC Volna Pinsk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ostrovets FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ostrovets FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ostrovets FC and 1.75 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Ostrovets FC 2-1 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 43%, draw 24%, FC Volna Pinsk 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ostrovets FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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