Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-0 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-8.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+8.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.4pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.36/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.94
-31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2023 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
04.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-3 HT 0-3 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
29.01.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC swept aside Gresford Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holyhead Hotspur FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holyhead Hotspur FC and 1.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Gresford Athletic?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-0 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holyhead Hotspur FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 45%, draw 27%, Gresford Athletic 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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