Newtown 2-2 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Nov 2025

Newtown
2-2 HT 0-0
Holywell
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Newtown vs Holywell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Holywell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown and Holywell shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Holywell?

Newtown 2-2 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newtown 39%, draw 20%, Holywell 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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