Afan Lido 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
29%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.44/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.66
+3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
11.03.2025 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
26.07.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 HT 3-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
20.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
03.12.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 8-1 HT 2-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.11.2021 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido and Pontypridd Town AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afan Lido and 2.60 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Afan Lido 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 27%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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