Rudes 1-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Nov 2025

Rudes
1-1 HT 0-0
Jarun
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.06
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Jarun
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR2
19.04.2025 Rudes Rudes 0-2 HT 0-2 Jarun Jarun HIR2
01.12.2024 Rudes Rudes 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
19.09.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-1 Rudes Rudes HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
1-1
AWAY Jarun
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudes and Jarun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rudes at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rudes had 60% of the ball to Jarun's 40%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rudes and 1.00 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Jarun?

Rudes 1-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rudes 56%, draw 25%, Jarun 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rudes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rudes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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