Bandari 2-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.77
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
33%
-7.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 33%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.47/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.61
+61% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandari
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.02.2025 Bandari Bandari 1-0 HT 1-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
28.09.2024 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandari Bandari KEN
04.01.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandari
2-0
AWAY Sofapaka
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bandari vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari saw off Sofapaka 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bandari as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bandari had 51% of the ball to Sofapaka's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bandari had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bandari and 0.00 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Bandari vs Sofapaka?

Bandari 2-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bandari 41%, draw 25%, Sofapaka 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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