Mathare United vs Homeboyz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Homeboyz — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Homeboyz Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Homeboyz
KEN2
2-2
HT 0-1
Mathare United
KEN2
Mathare United 2-0 Homeboyz — Actual Match Statistics
Mathare United beat Homeboyz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mathare United had 45% of the ball to Homeboyz's 55%, shots finished 12-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mathare United and 1.67 for Homeboyz.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Homeboyz?
Mathare United 2-0 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Homeboyz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 22%, draw 32%, Homeboyz 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Homeboyz) went the other way.