Deportivo Alaves II vs Alfaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves II v Alfaro — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves II vs Alfaro Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Alaves II
İS4
1-0
HT 1-0
Alfaro
İS4
Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Alfaro — Actual Match Statistics
Alfaro squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Alaves II at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 58% of the ball to Alfaro's 42%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.50 for Alfaro.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Alfaro?
Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Alfaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 59%, draw 22%, Alfaro 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.