Sampdoria (K) 1-2 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.7pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.0pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Como (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.05 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 304
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
01.05.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
23.03.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
07.10.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-2
AWAY Como (K)
1.36 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
229 Passes 310
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) squeezed past Sampdoria (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (23% / 36% / 41%) promised a tight game; Como (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 46% of the ball to Como (K)'s 54%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.36 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 1.20 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-2 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 23%, draw 36%, Como (K) 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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