Vietnam SR 1-0 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
35%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 18%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.09/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.41
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.6 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam SR
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Endonezya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2024 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-3 HT 0-2 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
21.03.2024 Endonezya Endonezya 1-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR DKE
19.01.2024 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-1 HT 0-1 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
09.01.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya AFF
06.01.2023 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
15.12.2021 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam SR
1-0
AWAY Endonezya
0.88 xG 0.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
573 Passes 191
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vietnam SR vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vietnam SR nicked a narrow win over Endonezya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vietnam SR as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vietnam SR had 72% of the ball to Endonezya's 28%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 0.88 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Endonezya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vietnam SR and 0.83 for Endonezya.

What was the final score of Vietnam SR vs Endonezya?

Vietnam SR 1-0 Endonezya in the AFF Championship on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vietnam SR vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vietnam SR win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vietnam SR 56%, draw 25%, Endonezya 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam SR) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vietnam SR) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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