Endonezya 1-0 Vietnam SR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 33%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vietnam SR
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-1 HT 0-1 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
09.01.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya AFF
06.01.2023 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
15.12.2021 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
07.06.2021 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 4-0 HT 0-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
15.10.2019 Endonezya Endonezya 1-3 HT 0-1 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
1-0
AWAY Vietnam SR
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Vietnam SR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya nicked a narrow win over Vietnam SR 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Endonezya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Endonezya had 44% of the ball to Vietnam SR's 56%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vietnam SR led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Endonezya and 1.50 for Vietnam SR.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Vietnam SR?

Endonezya 1-0 Vietnam SR in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Vietnam SR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Endonezya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 38%, draw 28%, Vietnam SR 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Endonezya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Endonezya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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