Vietnam SR 0-1 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 36% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.5
X/2
10%
7.03
X/X EV+ ✗
25%
4.74
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · X/X at 4.74 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.9pp
37%
Draw
26%
+10.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam SR
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Endonezya
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.48 xG 0.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.01.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya AFF
06.01.2023 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
15.12.2021 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
07.06.2021 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 4-0 HT 0-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
15.10.2019 Endonezya Endonezya 1-3 HT 0-1 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam SR
0-1
AWAY Endonezya
0.98 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 263
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vietnam SR vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya squeezed past Vietnam SR 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 37% / 29% — and on the day Endonezya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Vietnam SR had 57% of the ball to Endonezya's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.98 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vietnam SR had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Vietnam SR and 0.20 for Endonezya.

What was the final score of Vietnam SR vs Endonezya?

Vietnam SR 0-1 Endonezya in the Asian Cup on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vietnam SR vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vietnam SR 34%, draw 37%, Endonezya 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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