Hong Kong 0-1 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 19 Jan 2024

Hong Kong
0-1 HT 0-1
İran
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Asian Cup – 2024

Hong Kong vs İran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
65%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.57
2-3 Goals
48%
2.36
4-5 Goals
18%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
34.0
1/2
4%
28.0
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
8%
34.0
X/2
18%
3.49
X/X
4%
18.05
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
43%
1.11
2/X
13%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
9%
+12.1pp
65%
Away Win
86%
-21.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hong Kong v İran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY İran EU Bookmakers 91%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.70
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -63%
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
194 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 517 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hong Kong vs İran Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
1 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
The Meetings
16.11.2023 İran İran 4-0 HT 2-0 Hong Kong Hong Kong DKE
10.09.2019 Hong Kong Hong Kong 0-2 HT 0-1 İran İran DKE

Hong Kong 0-1 İran — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong
0-1
AWAY İran
0.40 xG 1.11
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
93 Passes 402
45% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hong Kong vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran edged past Hong Kong 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong had 30% of the ball to İran's 70%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.40 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hong Kong and 3.00 for İran.

What was the final score of Hong Kong vs İran?

Hong Kong 0-1 İran in the Asian Cup on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated an İran win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong 14%, draw 21%, İran 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ASK More Asian Cup
19 Jan 2024
14:30 Irak vs Japonya Analysis →
17:30 Vietnam SR vs Endonezya Analysis →