Tuen Mun SA 1-5 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
64%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.99
No
41%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+13.5pp
17%
Draw
9%
+7.8pp
64%
Away Win
85%
-21.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
46%
+13.0pp
41%
BTTS No
54%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 91%
+78% / +78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.62/1.34
+150% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -18%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
272 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuen Mun SA
1-5
AWAY Central & Western
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 31
2 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tuen Mun SA vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western cruised past Tuen Mun SA 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 31% of the ball to Central & Western's 69%, shots finished 3-31.

What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs Central & Western?

Tuen Mun SA 1-5 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 19%, draw 17%, Central & Western 64%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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