Hatayspor 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

Hatayspor
1-1 HT 0-1
Göztepe
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Hatayspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.29
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
9%
5.07
X/X
18%
4.49
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.41
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.55
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.9 Crosses 20.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Hatayspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.02.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
22.09.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
10.04.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
19.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
14.02.2015 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
27.09.2014 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe S2-K

Hatayspor 1-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.17 xG 1.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
362 Passes 168
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
26 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Göztepe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hatayspor had 63% of the ball to Göztepe's 37%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.17 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hatayspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hatayspor and 1.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Göztepe?

Hatayspor 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 38%, draw 30%, Göztepe 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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