Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

Antalyaspor
2-0 HT 1-0
Kayserispor
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.78
X/2
11%
7.16
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
12%
5.07
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.55
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.8 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
02.09.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
11.03.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
17.01.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
11.09.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL

Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-0
AWAY Kayserispor
1.08 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 9
374 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor saw off Kayserispor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 51% of the ball to Kayserispor's 49%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.08 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor?

Antalyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 44%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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