Barwell 1-0 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.46/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.32
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Banbury United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Banbury United Banbury United 1-2 HT 0-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.08.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-6 HT 2-3 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
1-0
AWAY Banbury United
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell edged past Banbury United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Barwell made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Barwell had 45% of the ball to Banbury United's 55%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Banbury United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barwell and 2.75 for Banbury United.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Banbury United?

Barwell 1-0 Banbury United in the England - Non League Premier on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barwell 38%, draw 24%, Banbury United 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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