Banbury United 1-2 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.9pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 38%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.40/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.54
-10% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Barwell
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-6 HT 2-3 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell nicked a narrow win over Banbury United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Banbury United and 1.33 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Barwell?

Banbury United 1-2 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 36%, draw 33%, Barwell 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banbury United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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