Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 16 Jan 2025

Anderlecht
1-0 HT 1-0
Royal Antwerp
📅16/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - Cup – 2024/2025

Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.94
X/2
17%
6.25
X/X
11%
4.34
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
4.66
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.05
-19% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
– Crosses 5.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
401 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
26.05.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
30.03.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
17.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
29.01.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL

Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-0
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.79 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Anderlecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 44% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 56%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.79 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Anderlecht and 0.83 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp?

Anderlecht 1-0 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Cup on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 40%, draw 27%, Royal Antwerp 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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