Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 24%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.63/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.06
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bahardar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
29.02.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 0-0 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-0
AWAY Bahardar
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance got the better of Bahardar 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 49% of the ball to Bahardar's 51%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Bahardar?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 45%, draw 30%, Bahardar 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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