Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 24%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.63/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.35
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 2-2 HT 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-0
AWAY Awassa Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance got the better of Awassa Kenema 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 53% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 47%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 47%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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