Fasil Ketema 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.66
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 HT 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
56% Ball Possession 44%
2 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna edged past Fasil Ketema 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Ethiopia Bunna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 56% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 44%, shots finished 2-5.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 31%, draw 35%, Ethiopia Bunna 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
16 Jan 2025
00:00 Ethiopian Insurance vs Bahardar Analysis →
18:00 Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema Analysis →