Boca Juniors 2-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jan 2025

Boca Juniors
2-0 HT 1-0
Juventude
📅16/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Boca Juniors vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.28
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
11%
9.15
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
7.78
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
54%
-15.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boca Juniors v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Boca Juniors 2-0 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
2-0
AWAY Juventude
0.57 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
412 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors beat Juventude 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Boca Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 55% of the ball to Juventude's 45%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.57 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Juventude?

Boca Juniors 2-0 Juventude in the Friendlies on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 38%, draw 31%, Juventude 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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