Lugano 2-2 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.18/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.47
+10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
28.01.2018 Lugano Lugano 4-0 HT 2-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 HAZ
18.04.2015 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-5 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSV2
28.02.2015 Lugano Lugano 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
30.08.2014 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
12.04.2014 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV2
12.03.2014 Lugano Lugano 1-4 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
2-2
AWAY Wil 1900
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Wil 1900 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lugano at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lugano had 52% of the ball to Wil 1900's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lugano and 1.17 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Wil 1900?

Lugano 2-2 Wil 1900 in the Friendlies on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lugano 62%, draw 21%, Wil 1900 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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