Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Düsseldorf v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
4-1
HT 1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
4-2
HT 1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Arminia Bielefeld 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 54% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 46%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2.00 for Arminia Bielefeld.
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.