Arminia Bielefeld 5-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Aug 2025

Arminia Bielefeld
5-1 HT 1-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.6
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
12%
6.11
X/2
16%
6.01
X/X
8%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.35
2/2
16%
3.51
2/X
7%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arminia Bielefeld v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.48/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.43
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.9 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.47 xG 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
348 Passes 393
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf HAZ
09.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
01.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
16.03.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
14.10.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
12.08.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK

Arminia Bielefeld 5-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
5-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.84 xG 1.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
457 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld cruised past Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Arminia Bielefeld made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 64% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 36%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.84 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 2.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Arminia Bielefeld 5-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 39%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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