Elversberg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elversberg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals
Elversberg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Nürnberg
AL2
0-3
HT 0-1
Nürnberg
AFK
Elversberg 1-0 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics
Elversberg squeezed past Nürnberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elversberg had 55% of the ball to Nürnberg's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elversberg and 1.80 for Nürnberg.
What was the final score of Elversberg vs Nürnberg?
Elversberg 1-0 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Nürnberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 51%, draw 23%, Nürnberg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.