Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paderborn v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals
Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
7-2
HT 5-2
Holstein Kiel
AL2
3-4
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
Paderborn 2-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn edged past Holstein Kiel 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Paderborn had 47% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 53%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paderborn and 2.33 for Holstein Kiel.
What was the final score of Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel?
Paderborn 2-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 43%, draw 21%, Holstein Kiel 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.