Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Negele Arsi Ketema v Welayta Dicha — Team-Based Signals
Negele Arsi Ketema 1-1 Welayta Dicha — Actual Match Statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema and Welayta Dicha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Negele Arsi Ketema at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 52% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 48%, shots finished 3-9.
What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
Negele Arsi Ketema 1-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 45%, draw 31%, Welayta Dicha 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema), BTTS No went the other way.