Hadiya Hosaena 3-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.19
No
67%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.6pp
67%
BTTS No
58%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 28%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.22/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.98
+29% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 HT 1-0 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie ETH
01.12.2024 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
3-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena beat Shire Endaselassie 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 35% / 26% — and on the day Hadiya Hosaena made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 46% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 54%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 0.50 for Shire Endaselassie.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Hadiya Hosaena 3-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 39%, draw 35%, Shire Endaselassie 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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