Boulogne 1-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Jan 2026

Boulogne
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Montpellier
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Boulogne vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.64
Over
43%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.59
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.38
6+
4%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.78
1/2
2%
30.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
12%
6.3
X/2
15%
5.09
X/X
21%
4.06
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Boulogne v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Boulogne The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier The Market 43%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
1.52 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3

Boulogne vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Montpellier
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.39 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.09.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 1-3 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
06.02.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 0-2 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
26.09.2009 Montpellier Montpellier 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR1
02.02.2009 Boulogne Boulogne 0-3 HT 0-3 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
15.08.2008 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
18.01.2008 Montpellier Montpellier 3-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2

Boulogne 1-0 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
1 - 0
AWAY Montpellier
0.34 xG 0.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
208 Passes 390
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Boulogne vs Montpellier
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Boulogne found just enough to beat Montpellier 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Boulogne found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Boulogne had 40% of the ball to Montpellier's 60%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.35.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boulogne and 1.67 for Montpellier.

Boulogne vs Montpellier Result & Final Score

Boulogne 1 - 0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Boulogne vs Montpellier Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 30%, draw 31%, Montpellier 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5
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