Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier vs Boulogne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Montpellier
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Boulogne
FR1
0-3
HT 0-3
Montpellier
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Boulogne
FR2
3-0
HT 0-0
Boulogne
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Montpellier
FR2
Montpellier 1-3 Boulogne — Actual Match Statistics
Boulogne beat Montpellier 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montpellier had 54% of the ball to Boulogne's 46%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 1.02 to 2.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montpellier and 0.33 for Boulogne.
What was the final score of Montpellier vs Boulogne?
Montpellier 1-3 Boulogne in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Boulogne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 52%, draw 28%, Boulogne 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.